The upcoming NATO summit in The Hague this June 24 and 25—meant to showcase unity and resolve—may end up doing the opposite: exposing divisions, achieving little, and revealing a troubling shift. The alliance that once served as the anchor of Western defense now faces an identity crisis, largely influenced by the changing role of the United States under President Donald Trump.

A President at Odds with the Alliance

President Trump comes to the NATO summit not as a stabilizing leader but as a disruptor. His position on the Russian invasion of Ukraine sharply differs from that of most European leaders. While many in Europe see Russia’s 2022 attack on Ukraine as unprovoked aggression, Trump has suggested that Ukraine “provoked” Russia—downplaying Moscow’s responsibility and treating both sides as equally culpable.

This stance is deeply unsettling to countries like Poland, the Baltic states, and Romania. For them, NATO is more than diplomacy—it’s a protective shield. But under Trump’s view, that shield seems uncertain.

Trump’s view of Vladimir Putin also contrasts sharply with NATO consensus. While European leaders regard Putin as a serious, long-term threat to European stability, Trump has described him in favorable terms—even amid allegations of war crimes. This isn’t just a difference in tone—it reflects a fundamentally different understanding of global threats.

From Shared Values to Shared Costs

At its core, Trump treats NATO less like a community of shared democratic values and more like a financial arrangement. His message has been blunt: pay more or risk losing protection. Although calls for higher European defense spending aren’t new, Trump frames the issue as a fee-for-service model—diminishing the alliance’s foundational spirit of mutual defense.

This year’s summit is expected to focus heavily on Trump’s demand that allies commit 5% of GDP to defense. Some countries like Poland and the UK may support the idea, but many others find it politically and economically unfeasible, even coercive.

Even more concerning is what won’t be addressed: there will likely be no new pledges to Ukraine or a clear plan to deal with Russia’s ongoing threats. That silence speaks volumes.

A Shifting Balance of Power

The summit may produce few policy breakthroughs, but it will make one reality painfully clear: the United States no longer leads NATO as it once did. Without U.S. leadership grounded in shared values, the alliance becomes more fragmented—less a united front, and more a group of nations with diverging priorities.

Faced with this void, Europe is beginning to respond.

Europe Steps Forward

As the summit unfolds, European leaders are moving to create a more independent defense structure. France is taking the lead, with Germany showing increased support. Their goal: prepare for a future where Europe must defend itself—even without, or against, U.S. approval.

Key elements of this shift include France’s nuclear arsenal, the EU’s Common Security and Defence Policy (CSDP), and joint defense projects through initiatives like PESCO. Once seen as symbolic, these are now gaining strategic importance.

Eastern Europe is also adapting. Countries like Poland are ramping up defense spending and modernizing their forces. Nordic nations are working more closely together through regional groups like NORDEFCO and the Joint Expeditionary Force.

A Prophetic Parallel

This changing defense landscape may have more than political implications—it could carry prophetic weight. The Bible foretells a final resurrection of the Roman Empire, emerging from Europe shortly before the return of Jesus Christ. Scripture describes this end-time empire as a powerful beast—ruthless, dominant, and seemingly unstoppable: “Who is like the beast? Who is able to make war with him?” (Revelation 13:4).

The weakening of NATO and the decline of U.S. leadership are not just political shifts—they are part of a larger prophetic pattern. A new European-centered power is rising, one that may dominate the global stage with strength and unity, even without—or in defiance of—American leadership.